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The Mucky Duck

This table puts everything for one swimmer on one page in one table. "Std" (for Chris) is 10th of the USMS Top Ten. "CanDo" is the time the Duck thinks Chris can swim. "Perf" is Chris's best actual time. "CanDo%" is "CanDo" indexed to the "Std". "Perf%" is "Perf" indexed to the "Std". "Hope" is the amount of improvement the Duck thinks Chris can achieve. (It is assumed that Chris gains 5 seconds for each turn in a 50 and 10 seconds for each turn in a 1500.) Click here for swims used in this analysis. — Click here for USMS data. (updated 5/19/15 11:04)

Data Analysis by The Mucky Duck for Chris Bass (age 45-49)

LCM

Event Actual times Estimated times
Strk Dist Crs Std Pace Perf Pace Perf% CanDo CanDo% Hope Pace
Back 50 LCM :33.61 :34       :52.34 156%   :52
Back 100 LCM 1:13.57 :37              
Back 200 LCM 2:38.41 :40              
Brst 50 LCM :35.28 :35              
Brst 100 LCM 1:19.38 :40              
Brst 200 LCM 2:56.32 :44              
Fly 50 LCM :29.65 :30              
Fly 100 LCM 1:09.39 :35              
Fly 200 LCM 3:05.79 :46              
Free 50 LCM :27.16 :27       :39.21 144%   :39
Free 100 LCM :59.88 :30       1:32.19 154%   :46
Free 200 LCM 2:13.30 :33       3:34.00 161%   :54
Free 400 LCM 4:50.27 :36       9:28.66 196%   1:11
Free 800 LCM 10:18.57 :39       17:56.21 174%   1:07
Free 1500 LCM 19:31.84 :39       33:36.26 172%   1:07
IM 200 LCM 2:34.50 :39              
IM 400 LCM 5:54.90 :44              

SCM

Event Actual times Estimated times
Strk Dist Crs Std Pace Perf Pace Perf% CanDo CanDo% Hope Pace
Back 50 SCM :31.70 :32       :47.34 149%   :47
Back 100 SCM 1:09.68 :35              
Back 200 SCM 2:38.33 :40              
Brst 50 SCM :35.11 :35              
Brst 100 SCM 1:18.04 :39              
Brst 200 SCM 2:52.95 :43              
Fly 50 SCM :29.06 :29              
Fly 100 SCM 1:05.82 :33              
Fly 200 SCM 3:05.03 :46              
Free 50 SCM :26.34 :26 :43.00 :43 163% :34.21 130% 33% :34
Free 100 SCM :59.15 :30 1:37.00 :49 164% 1:21.85 138% 26% :41
Free 200 SCM 2:11.27 :33 3:42.00 :56 169% 3:11.93 146% 23% :48
Free 400 SCM 4:46.75 :36 8:39.00 1:05 181% 8:39.00 181%   1:05
Free 800 SCM 10:09.61 :38       15:54.83 157%   1:00
Free 1500 SCM 20:03.62 :40       28:36.26 143%   :57
IM 100 SCM 1:08.33 :34       1:43.88 152%   :52
IM 200 SCM 2:36.47 :39              
IM 400 SCM 5:42.71 :43              

SCY

Event Actual times Estimated times
Strk Dist Crs Std Pace Perf Pace Perf% CanDo CanDo% Hope Pace
Back 50 SCY :27.64 :28 :43.29 :43 157% :43.29 157%   :43
Back 100 SCY 1:00.00 :30              
Back 200 SCY 2:12.81 :33              
Brst 50 SCY :29.80 :30              
Brst 100 SCY 1:06.24 :33              
Brst 200 SCY 2:28.94 :37              
Fly 50 SCY :25.44 :25              
Fly 100 SCY :56.05 :28              
Fly 200 SCY 2:13.82 :33              
Free 50 SCY :23.05 :23 :31.28 :31 136% :31.28 136%   :31
Free 100 SCY :50.88 :25 1:14.84 :37 147% 1:14.84 147%   :37
Free 200 SCY 1:52.82 :28 2:55.50 :44 156% 2:55.50 156%   :44
Free 500 SCY 5:10.19 :31 8:22.36 :50 162% 8:22.36 162%   :50
Free 1000 SCY 10:50.36 :33       16:56.58 156%   :51
Free 1650 SCY 18:45.38 :34 28:46.30 :52 153% 28:46.30 153%   :52
IM 100 SCY :58.92 :29 1:34.99 :47 161% 1:34.99 161%   :47
IM 200 SCY 2:11.14 :33              
IM 400 SCY 4:49.44 :36              

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